Chris Blattman

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The effects of the Vietnam draft lottery on political attitudes

I was always puzzled why someone did not do this paper sooner.

Males holding low lottery numbers became more antiwar, more liberal, and more Democratic in their voting compared to those whose high numbers protected them from the draft. They were also more likely than those with safe numbers to abandon the party identification that they had held as teenagers. Trace effects are found in reinterviews from the 1990s.

A new paper by Robert Erikson and Laura Stoker.

My Uganda analogue is here.

h/t John Sides

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  2. Your article, as well as Erikson and Stoker’s present evidence on the link between exposure to violence and political participation for men, and you noted in your conclusion that it may not apply to women or girls. But in SWAY research information was also gathered on female youth–do you know how differently exposure to violence effects females’ participation in politics? The comparison would be really interesting. Perhaps the differences aren’t significant, but if they are, it seems important to maintain the distinctions and not generalize in any discussion of the links between witnessing violence and political participation.

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