Alwyn Young doesn’t buy the GDP and consumption data in Africa (with good reason).
He develops new estimates of poverty in 29 sub-Saharan and 27 other developing countries using DHS surveys–widespread, longstanding health surveys that also happen to record a handful of physical measures of consumption such as car or bike ownership, housing materials, or the birth, death or illness of a child.
The result (now ungated):
…real household consumption in sub-Saharan Africa is growing between 3.4 and 3.7 percent per annum, i.e. three and a half to four times the 0.9 to 1.1 percent reported in international data sources.
I find that the growth of consumption in non sub-Saharan economies is also higher than reported in international sources, but the difference here is much less pronounced, with growth of 3.4 to 3.8 percent, as opposed to the 2.0 to 2.2 percent indicated by international sources.
While international data sources indicate that sub-Saharan Africa is progressing at less than half the rate of other developing countries, the DHS suggest that African growth is easily on par with that being experienced by other economies.
A pity the economic data in DHS and other regular national surveys (Afrobarometer, I mean you) have such piddly economic data.
There’s too little careful nuts and bolts research of this kind going on in development, partly because of the RCT craze. PhD students: follow examples like this one.
(Postscript: The counterpoint paper, claiming asset data biased) h/t @Shanta_WB
68 Responses
@cblatts, Yes but still such a small %. eg less than 1% in Uganda have private health plans >>> Africans are richer: http://t.co/KI9gCqB7
Esto nos estaria diciendo q los datos de pobreza al uso dan una imagen mas negativa de lo q es la realidad en Africa.. http://t.co/ZXLXncB7
RT @a_martinoro: Segun estimaciones de pobreza alternativas a las estandar, los africanos son mas ricos y estan prosperando mas rapido http://t.co/ZLR95M2G
Segun estimaciones de pobreza alternativas a las estandar, los africanos son mas ricos y estan prosperando mas rapido http://t.co/ZLR95M2G
RT @altmandaniel: RT @cblatts Now ungated paper: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/9qmTA4cN
Good news about economic growth in Africa, via @cblatts http://t.co/uQHlyBGI
RT @philippesibelly: Sounds a very interesting paper well worth the $5 RT @cblatts Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/PssrpNkd
RT @maria_andersen: RT:“@a_martinoro: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think, by @cblatts http://t.co/nuzQrqyy”
New research shows #African are richer and getting richer faster than previously reported http://t.co/myTZdp7Y
“@Calestous: New research shows #African are richer and getting richer faster than previously reported http://t.co/BmHEUTZ7“
http://t.co/H43gKMap http://t.co/Uzr9xh6D
Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/jJXmQgiV
RT @adelaigue: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think | Chris Blattman http://t.co/xBBTedaE
#Africa is richer than you think. http://t.co/i44yDUR6
Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think – http://t.co/uIS5YYqA @FCronje_SAIRR
RT @tmsruge: RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/cMjU5nKZ
RT @adelaigue: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think | Chris Blattman http://t.co/xBBTedaE
RT @tmsruge: RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/JxWPmfRF
RT @tmsruge: RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/cMjU5nKZ
RT @tmsruge: RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/cMjU5nKZ
RT @tmsruge: RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/cMjU5nKZ
RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/cMjU5nKZ
RT @adelaigue: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think | Chris Blattman http://t.co/xBBTedaE
Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think | Chris Blattman http://t.co/xBBTedaE
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT:“@a_martinoro: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think, by @cblatts http://t.co/nuzQrqyy”
RT @cblatts: Now ungated paper. RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/sd8zRGI1
RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/sd8zRGI1
RT @appfrica: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/sd8zRGI1
RT @danatgu: RT @cblatts Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ppho6VWd
Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/sd8zRGI1
RT @manikarthik: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/qeQxtX2A
Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/Pr8WFSLB
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/02Q7q1hQ
RT @cblatts: Now undated paper. RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
Here’s the working paper version of the “counterpoint paper”: http://www2.vwl.wiso.uni-goettingen.de/courant-papers/CRC-PEG_DP_109.pdf
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/chyy2vyv“
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @Shanta_WB: For some qualifications, see http://t.co/ErSuUqmw. “@cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/KXGQBaXE”
@cblatts Unfortunately money ends up, as always, in the hands of a few who ship it to fiscal heavens
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @akhilak: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/KXU34jv2
Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/KXU34jv2
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
@cblatts How can we invest in Africa?
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
Chris Blattman: New paper by Alwyn Young shows Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think. http://t.co/eA4ROU2N
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/8fEeGzgQ
RT @altmandaniel: RT @cblatts Now ungated paper: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/t6HUvWir
RT @cblatts Now ungated paper: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/tUXWts64
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
@cblatts I wonder if that thought would prevent international aid (still vital)? Aid based on poverty #s rather than growth pace…
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0
RT @cblatts: Africans are richer (and getting richer) than you think http://t.co/ZLdf0uE0