The powers of data prediction

I was a skeptic, but  I have begun to hang on Nate Silver’s every prognostication, election addict that I am. More importantly, some conflict forecasting work we’ve been doing in Liberia has (so far) unexpectedly successful. More on that in the next weeks.

In the meantime, others have been forecasting more weighty matters:

Hunch then looks for statistical correlations between the information that all of its users provide, revealing fascinating links between people’s seemingly unrelated preferences. For instance, Hunch has revealed that people who enjoy dancing are more apt to want to buy a Mac, that people who like The Count on Sesame Street tend to support legalizing marijuana, that pug owners are often fans of The Shawshank Redemption, and that users who prefer aisle seats on planes “spend more money on other people than themselves.”

From “How Visa predicts divorce” in the Daily Beast.

Three of the Hunch forecasts above fit my profile.