Violence doesn’t pay? Evidence from French protests

A job market paper I am excited about:

we use a set of weather and school holiday measures as instrumental variables for protest violence, a design made possible by disaggregated, micro-level protest event data constituting the universe of reported French protests from 1980-1995 and including an indicator for property destruction. Our results suggest that protest violence lowers the incidence of obtaining a concession.

From Emiliano Huet-Vaughn at Berkeley.

If you think that groups need to commit small-scale violence is to establish a credible threat of greater disruption, Emiliano’s result is not what you would predict.