I know that checking the FiveThirtyEight election forecast and Intrade predictions every fifteen seconds is a pointless exercise. Even the daily change offers minimal information. But I get such unadulterated thrills of anticipation and satisfaction…
Presentation to the Joint Chiefs Operations Directorate
November 11, 2022
14 Responses
Truth: The inner irrational tension faced by the social scientist at election time http://t.co/Fgt057EH
The inner irrational tension faced by the social scientist at election time http://t.co/RK1FCJxS
I know what you mean. FiveThirtyEight is the only blog I visit by compulsively typing into the URL bar; everything else I read in Google Reader.
Same addiction here! Also bookie odds sites.
RT @justinwolfers: The illness: http://t.co/BGfKUjCx
The cure: http://t.co/l4d9LAu9
interesting question is – would you check less if Obama (who I’ll just assume you’re rooting for, pinko Canadian that you are) were behind and checking 538 would be painful rather than satisfactory?
@cblatts puts in a pithy sentence how I feel about public polling around election time: http://t.co/D8Sbg5TE
Funny — but for politics geeks alike — totally true. RT @justinwolfers: The illness: http://t.co/ajcSPQAx
The cure: http://t.co/V7BzvXhq
RT @justinwolfers: The illness: http://t.co/BGfKUjCx
The cure: http://t.co/l4d9LAu9
RT @justinwolfers: The illness: http://t.co/BGfKUjCx
The cure: http://t.co/l4d9LAu9
The illness: http://t.co/BGfKUjCx
The cure: http://t.co/l4d9LAu9
For me, there is no satisfaction, only frustration. I feel this incredible urge to scream into the ether about what probabilities mean, what prediction with discrete outcomes means, and so on. I can’t wait for this to be over.
RT @cblatts: The inner irrational tension faced by the social scientist at election time http://t.co/kSRoHfPS
RT @cblatts: The inner irrational tension faced by the social scientist at election time http://t.co/fbVzf09e