For those of you interested in the subject, three of us presented early work at the annual NEMP meeting yesterday:

• Anti-government Networks in Civil Conflicts. How Network Structures Affect Anti-government Behavior, by Nils Metternich, with Cassy Dorff, Max Gallup, Simon Weschle and Michael Ward
• Predicting local level violence, by Chris Blattman, with Rob Blair and Alexandra Hartman
• Forecasting Onsets of Mass-Killing Episodes, by Jay Ulfelder