There are many reasons to fear climate change, but I am a great skeptic of the flurry of papers claiming that global warming will precipitate war and violence.
This is a general concern with the whole warfare literature, where people are far too quick to write, remember and report the “end is nigh” finding, and reluctant to trumpet the “but on closer inspection not much is there” result.
I may be biased by my recent difficulties publishing a nor-do-commodity-shocks-cause-conflict paper. A blog post for another day, while I mull whether blogging about referee responses is a good idea or not. Probably not.
In any case, I am pleased to see a Journal of Peace Research special issue entitled “Climate Change Link to War Remains Tenuous”. I have not read it, and nor will I have the time before it is old news. But access to the issue is free until the end of the month of February.
If you read it, comments below will be welcomed.