Chris Blattman

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Soros is offering $500 million to save the Skittles

screenshot-2016-09-20-11-11-02

Here he is in the WSJ.

In response, I have decided to earmark $500 million for investments that specifically address the needs of migrants, refugees and host communities. I will invest in startups, established companies, social-impact initiatives and businesses founded by migrants and refugees themselves. Although my main concern is to help migrants and refugees arriving in Europe, I will be looking for good investment ideas that will benefit migrants all over the world.

If you don’t get the Skittles reference, then you missed the Twitter brouhaha of the last 24 hours. The Guardian’s round up is the appropriate level of introduction. But I’ll get you started:

screenshot-2016-09-20-11-11-02I will take a different tack than most, and say that Trump’s logic is valid, but his numbers are not. Probably it is more like one in ten thousand Skittles is poisonous, but for every twenty Skittles you eat a dying child lives. I will funnel Skittles for those odds.

3 Responses

  1. “Probably it is more like one in ten thousand Skittles is poisonous,”

    -Then don’t let in ten thousand skittles, duh!

    “but for every twenty Skittles you eat a dying child lives.”

    -Just the opposite; purchasing power parity makes it far more costly to take care of “refugees” in foreign countries than in America.

    Only if Muslims allied with the Wrong Kind of White People (as Irish Catholics used to do with racists in the Democratic Party up until the mid-20th century), would you cucks even think of restricting Muslim immigration.

  2. Alex Nowrasteh did the math and probably said it best (http://www.cato.org/blog/trump-jrs-terrorism-skittles-bowl-analogy). Your 10,000 figure is way way too low.

    “Imagine a bowl full of 3.25 million Skittles that has been accumulated from 1975 to the end of 2015. We know that 20 of the Skittles in that bowl intended to do harm but only three of those 20 are actually fatal. That means that one in 1.08 million of them is deadly. It gets even better though. There are over three hundred million Americans and not everyone can get a Skittle. This means that the chance of any American actually eating the fatal Skittle and perishing is about one in 3.64 billion a year during the 41-year time period. Do you eat from the bowl without quaking in your boots? I would.”