Chris Blattman

Chris Blattman

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What the cost of your wedding says about the chances you divorce

Specifically, the study found that women whose wedding cost more than $20,000 divorced at a rate roughly 1.6 times higher than women whose wedding cost between $5,000 and $10,000. And couples who spent $1,000 or less on their big day had a lower than average rate of divorce.

Article. As usual, I don’t quibble with causal inference when I prefer to believe the result, whether or not it is true.

I highly recommend our strategy: immediate family only. We had 13 adults and three toddlers, total. Outdoors. Then a nice dinner. The families had never met and it was the last day of a week together. We broke the $1k level, but only barely.

Yes, we would have loved to have our friends. But to get to the third circle (friends you really want to invite) you have traverse the second circle (non-immediate relatives) and reach into the fourth circle (friends you are more ambivalent about seeing).

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  5. In the same table that shows greater expense leads to higher divorce, total wedding attendance strongly predicts lower divorce as does higher household income.

    I suspect this is the typical effect you get in regression models, where two collinear variables end up opposite signed when you include them together.

    Perhaps a better interpretation of table 2 (although I’m still sceptical), is that more expensive weddings increase divorce if the extra money doesn’t increase the turnout at the wedding.

    Also, the question sounds like it was just asking how much money the couple spent on wedding expenses. It’s quite possible that the lowest category is actually capturing couples who had rich enough parents to pay for the whole thing.

  6. I’m curious about the use of the word in the sentence ” the study found that women whose wedding cost more than $20,000 divorced at a rate roughly 1.6 times higher than women whose wedding cost between $5,000 and $10,000.” Are women more likely to get divorced than the men to whom they are married? Not likely. Or does the study also include same sex marriages?

  7. Being in the process of planning my own wedding, I naturally shared this with my fiance. She followed up with a very insightful comment: “People who only spend $1,000 on their wedding can’t afford to get divorced.” Estimates on the average divorce cost in America is $15,000-$30,000. I’m sure these numbers are skewed by high-cost (and high-earner) divorces, but it is an interesting viewpoint.

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