I know that checking the FiveThirtyEight election forecast and Intrade predictions every fifteen seconds is a pointless exercise. Even the daily change offers minimal information. But I get such unadulterated thrills of anticipation and satisfaction…
Last reply was 7 months ago
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RT @cblatts: The inner irrational tension faced by the social scientist at election time http://t.co/fbVzf09e
For me, there is no satisfaction, only frustration. I feel this incredible urge to scream into the ether about what probabilities mean, what prediction with discrete outcomes means, and so on. I can’t wait for this to be over.
The illness: http://t.co/BGfKUjCx
The cure: http://t.co/l4d9LAu9
Funny — but for politics geeks alike — totally true. RT @justinwolfers: The illness: http://t.co/ajcSPQAx
The cure: http://t.co/V7BzvXhq
@cblatts puts in a pithy sentence how I feel about public polling around election time: http://t.co/D8Sbg5TE
interesting question is – would you check less if Obama (who I’ll just assume you’re rooting for, pinko Canadian that you are) were behind and checking 538 would be painful rather than satisfactory?
Same addiction here! Also bookie odds sites.
I know what you mean. FiveThirtyEight is the only blog I visit by compulsively typing into the URL bar; everything else I read in Google Reader.
Truth: The inner irrational tension faced by the social scientist at election time http://t.co/Fgt057EH